AI Chipset Market Forecast: Rapid Growth Driven by GPUs and Cloud AI

August 21, 2024
AI Chipset Market Forecast: Rapid Growth Driven by GPUs and Cloud AI

The AI chipset market within the global data center industry is experiencing a wave of rapid growth, largely driven by innovations in GPU technology and custom cloud AI accelerators. As the adoption of AI applications escalates, various segments within the market are set to expand significantly from 2023 to 2028. The comprehensive study and market forecast conducted by Futurum Intelligence, the research division of The Futurum Group, reveals intricate details that showcase how the AI chipset landscape is poised for transformation.

Market Overview and Key Drivers

The Dominance of GPUs

The study by Futurum Intelligence identifies GPUs as the dominant category in the AI chipset market. As of early 2024, GPUs account for a staggering 92% market share, primarily fueled by Nvidia’s innovations. Nvidia’s contributions have led to GPUs constituting 74% of AI chipsets used in data centers.

The projection sets the GPU segment on a remarkable trajectory, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 30%, scaling from $28 billion in 2023 to an anticipated $102 billion by 2028. This rapid expansion showcases the critical role that GPUs play in AI processing, making them an invaluable asset in data centers globally.

Rising Importance of CPUs and XPUs

While GPUs dominate, CPUs maintain a significant presence in AI chipsets, holding a 20% market share in 2023. This segment is forecasted to grow at a 28% CAGR, reaching a value of $26 billion by 2028. CPUs continue to be foundational in data centers, providing essential processing power for various AI applications.

XPUs, specialized AI accelerators, though holding a smaller share at 3% in 2023, show promising potential. With a projected 31% CAGR, their market size is set to increase to $3.7 billion by 2028, reflecting the growing need for specialized AI acceleration capabilities. These trends indicate a diversification in the types of chipsets that are being utilized, emphasizing the necessity for specific solutions tailored to unique AI workloads.

Market Dynamics and Hyperscaler Influence

Growth in AI Inferencing Chips

The adoption of AI inferencing chips is poised to surge due to the maturation of generative AI models and heightened focus from chip manufacturers on inferencing support. This segment’s growth is indicative of the evolving needs of AI applications, requiring enhanced inferencing capabilities for real-time processing and decision-making. As AI models become more sophisticated, the demand for chips that can handle complex inference tasks is escalating, driving manufacturers to innovate at an accelerated pace.

Moreover, inferencing has grown to be a critical part of many AI applications, from speech recognition to autonomous vehicles. The maturation of these technologies necessitates more powerful and efficient inferencing chips, catalyzing their development and incorporation into data centers worldwide. As such, the next few years are expected to witness significant advancements in this domain, driven by the overall progress in AI and machine learning technologies.

Role of Hyperscale Cloud Providers

Hyperscale cloud providers such as Google, AWS, Oracle, and Microsoft are significantly shaping the AI chipset market. In 2024, these providers influenced 43% of purchase decisions, a figure expected to rise to 50% by 2028. Their investments and preferences are pivotal, driving the demand for advanced AI chipsets and fostering innovation within the market.

Custom cloud accelerators have emerged as a critical area, with Google leading in market share at 58% in 2023, followed by AWS at 21%. The growth potential in this segment underscores the importance of tailored AI solutions for cloud computing environments. Hyperscale providers continue to seek out and develop custom solutions that enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of their cloud AI offerings, reflecting the strategic importance of AI in their long-term business models.

Investment Landscape and Geographic Insights

Financial Performance and Sector Weight

The semiconductor sector, integral to the AI chipset market, holds substantial weight in the S&P Index, contributing approximately 30% with a market capitalization exceeding $5 trillion. The sector’s year-to-date return surpasses 66%, far outpacing the S&P’s overall return of 16%, signaling strong investor confidence and financial robustness. This impressive performance underscores the critical role of semiconductors in the broader technology ecosystem, particularly as it pertains to AI and data center applications.

Investments in AI chipset companies are driven by both their current market performance and their future growth potential. The hefty returns observed in the sector not only reflect the profitability of existing products but also the market’s anticipation of continued innovation and expansion. Investors are placing significant bets on the ability of semiconductor companies to develop cutting-edge technologies that will sustain the rapid advancement of AI.

Regional Market Leadership

North America stands at the forefront of the AI chipset market, commanding a 55% share, largely due to its advanced data center infrastructure. This leadership is followed by EMEA and APAC regions, each playing a vital role in the global adoption of AI technologies. North America’s dominance highlights its strategic advantage and capacity for AI innovation.

The robust infrastructure in North America allows for faster adoption and deployment of new technologies. Leading companies in this region are investing heavily in AI research and development, ensuring that they remain at the cutting edge of innovation. Meanwhile, the EMEA and APAC regions are not far behind. With growing investments in technology infrastructure and AI research, these regions are poised to increase their market share in the coming years, contributing to the global proliferation of AI chipset technologies.

Application and Industry Adoption

Leading AI Use Cases

Within data centers, AI applications are diverse, with Visual & Audio Analytics and Simulation & Modeling leading the forefront. These use cases represent significant portions of AI activity, each adapting and scaling with advancements in chipset technology. Visual and audio analytics are essential for various applications, including surveillance, customer service, and content creation, while simulation and modeling are critical for industries like manufacturing and healthcare.

The fastest-growing applications include Object Identification, Detection, and Monitoring, boasting a 38% CAGR, alongside Conversational AI growing at 36% CAGR. These applications illustrate the expanding boundaries of AI, incorporating sophisticated detection and interactive capabilities. Object identification and monitoring are increasingly used in safety and quality control systems, while conversational AI is transforming customer interactions through advanced chatbots and virtual assistants.

Sector-wise AI Integration

Industries such as Manufacturing & Industrial, Media and Entertainment, Information Technology, and Telecom are the primary adopters of AI technologies. The Information Technology and Telecom sectors, projected to grow over 40% CAGR, exemplify the increasing reliance on AI for efficiency and improved user experiences. In these sectors, AI is revolutionizing operations, from predictive maintenance in manufacturing to personalized content recommendations in media and entertainment.

Additionally, Financial Services & Insurance and Healthcare sectors are anticipated to grow at 39% and 37% CAGR, respectively. This diverse adoption across sectors emphasizes the broad impact of AI and its significance in driving operational and strategic advancements. Financial services are leveraging AI for fraud detection and customer service automation, while healthcare is adopting AI for diagnostic support and personalized treatment plans.

Future Trends and Strategic Implications

Technological Innovation and Market Competition

The competitive landscape within the AI chipset market is set to intensify. Companies like Nvidia, AMD, and Arm continue to lead with substantial revenue growth attributed to AI innovations. However, the market is also fertile ground for new entrants and startups, promising continuous innovation and potential for shifts in market share.

The entry of new players and the emergence of innovative startups are expected to drive further advancements, pushing the boundaries of what is possible with AI chipsets. This dynamic environment ensures that competition remains fierce, fostering rapid technological progress and opening new opportunities for growth. Established companies will need to continue innovating to maintain their market positions, while newcomers will strive to carve out niches with groundbreaking products and solutions.

Shifts in Decision-Making Dynamics

The global data center industry is witnessing a surge in the AI chipset market, primarily fueled by advancements in GPU technology and specialized cloud AI accelerators. As AI applications become more widespread, the market’s various sub-segments are expected to experience substantial growth between 2023 and 2028. A detailed analysis and market forecast by Futurum Intelligence, a branch of The Futurum Group, provides in-depth insights into this evolving landscape.

This burgeoning market is driven by a combination of factors. GPU technology has advanced to a point where it’s now more efficient and powerful, offering enhanced performance for data-intensive applications. Custom cloud AI accelerators are also playing a crucial role, providing tailored solutions that can handle specific AI workloads more effectively than traditional processors.

As companies continue to adopt AI-driven technologies for everything from data analysis to customer service, the demand for cutting-edge AI chipsets is set to rise. This growth isn’t just limited to big tech firms; smaller enterprises are also jumping on the AI bandwagon, contributing to the market’s expansion. Furthermore, the emergence of new AI applications in different sectors like healthcare, automotive, and finance is adding another layer of complexity and opportunity.

Therefore, the AI chipset market is on the brink of significant transformation. With ongoing innovations and increasing adoption across various industries, the period from 2023 to 2028 promises to be a pivotal time for growth and development in this sector. Futurum Intelligence’s comprehensive study underscores the importance of understanding these dynamics for anyone looking to capitalize on future opportunities.

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