How Will AI Chipsets Revolutionize Data Center Market by 2028?

August 20, 2024
How Will AI Chipsets Revolutionize Data Center Market by 2028?

The rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping various industries, and one of the most impacted sectors is data centers. AI chipsets, especially tailored for high-performance AI tasks, are central to this transformation. The study by Futurum Intelligence provides an in-depth analysis and five-year projection, revealing how AI chipsets will redefine the data center market landscape by 2028.

The Emerging Dominance of AI Chipsets

Growth Potential of AI Chipsets

The AI chipset market is experiencing unprecedented growth driven by the overarching need for speed and efficiency in data processing. According to Futurum Intelligence, the global data center market is valued at $400 billion, with AI chipsets, particularly GPUs, playing a pivotal role. GPUs are expected to expand from a $28 billion industry in 2023 to an impressive $102 billion by 2028, maintaining a 30% CAGR. This remarkable growth is attributed to their superior performance and efficiency in handling AI tasks.

This substantial rise in the market value of AI chipsets is largely due to increasing computational demands from various AI applications, including machine learning, deep learning, and analytics. GPUs, known for their highly parallelizable architecture, offer significant advantages in handling these workloads. The constant need for real-time data processing and AI inference runs through industries such as healthcare, finance, and autonomous systems, further propelling the demand for these chipsets. As AI models grow more complex, the capabilities required of the underlying hardware are expected to rise exponentially, ensuring sustained growth for AI chipsets.

Key Market Segments and Players

The study categorizes AI chipsets into four main types: GPUs, CPUs, XPUs, and custom cloud AI accelerators. NVIDIA dominates the GPU market with a commanding market share set to grow from 74% to a more defined segment by 2028. This dominance is driven by NVIDIA’s continuous innovations, comprehensive ecosystem, and strategic partnerships. On the other hand, custom cloud AI accelerators like Google TPU, AWS Trainium, and Microsoft Maia are becoming increasingly significant, reflecting the tech giants’ strategic focus on optimizing their data centers for AI workloads.

NVIDIA’s stronghold on the market is underscored by its extensive investment in research and development, ensuring it remains at the cutting edge of AI hardware. Google’s TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) and AWS’s Trainium and Inferentia chips represent a growing trend of tech giants creating bespoke solutions tailored to their specific AI workloads. These custom cloud AI accelerators offer specialized processing capabilities that outperform general-purpose chips in specific applications, showcasing the diversity of solutions designed to cater to various needs within data centers. Intel’s entry into the AI accelerator market with its Gaudi processors further exemplifies the competitive landscape growing more intricate and dynamic.

Drivers of AI Chipset Market Growth

AI Inferencing and Generative AI Models

A critical growth driver for AI chipsets is the maturation of generative AI models and AI inferencing capabilities. These advancements have catalyzed the need for robust and high-performing inferencing chips, which are essential for real-time data analysis and decision-making. The expansion of generative AI ensures continuous demand for innovative AI chipsets. As machine learning models become more sophisticated, the inferencing workload within data centers significantly increases, necessitating advanced chipset solutions capable of handling these demanding tasks.

Generative AI models, such as those used in natural language processing and image generation, require enormous computational power during both training and inferencing phases. The growing popularity of these AI applications means that data centers must be equipped with specialized chipsets to meet real-time processing requirements. The rapid improvement in AI model architectures, like transformers in language models and GANs in image creation, is pushing the boundaries of what’s possible, driving the exponential need for performant inferencing hardware. This development indicates a robust ongoing demand for GPU-based and custom AI accelerators that are specifically designed to execute these complex tasks with efficiency and precision.

Influence of Hyperscale Cloud Providers

Hyperscale cloud providers such as Google, AWS, and Microsoft are steadily cementing their influence and driving a significant portion of the market growth. Currently commanding 43% of AI chipset purchase decisions, their role is projected to increase to 50% by 2028. Their substantial investments in AI infrastructure underscore the critical role of AI chipsets in their strategic growth plans. These cloud giants lead the industry by offering scalable AI solutions that cater to various enterprises, ensuring that demand for advanced AI chipsets remains strong.

The predominance of hyperscale providers is largely due to their vast infrastructure and aggressive pursuit of AI advancements. By continuously evolving their data centers with the latest AI chipsets, they can offer cutting-edge services to a global clientele, encompassing everything from AI-powered cloud computing to sophisticated machine learning tools. This focus ensures that transformative AI technologies are accessible to businesses of all sizes, propelling innovation across industries. The strategic moves by these providers, investing billions into AI research and development, act as a significant driver of the overall AI chipset market, translating into sustained growth and technological evolution.

Regional and Segmental Market Insights

North America’s Leading Role

North America stands at the forefront of the global AI chipset market, leveraging its advanced data center infrastructure. Holding a 55% market share, the region’s dominance is facilitated by continuous investment in innovative technologies and infrastructure improvements. This leadership is poised to fuel further growth and maintain a competitive edge. The established presence of numerous tech giants and a robust ecosystem for startups contribute to North America’s leadership in AI technology, further solidifying its position.

The region’s competitive advantage is bolstered by supportive government policies and a thriving tech industry. Investment in AI research, talent development, and infrastructure plays a crucial role in maintaining North America’s lead. The collaboration between private firms and academic institutions accelerates technological advancements, producing a steady stream of innovations in AI chipsets. As demand for AI-driven solutions continues to expand, North America’s role as a technology hub ensures it remains at the cutting edge of AI development, pushing forward both capability and capacity in AI chipset deployment.

Segmental Growth in CPUs and Custom Cloud AI

CPU utilization in data centers is another significant segment, contributing 20% of the market with expectations to grow from $7.7 billion in 2023 to $26 billion by 2028 at a 28% CAGR. CPUs remain integral to data center operations, providing a balance of versatility and power for various tasks, including AI workloads. Despite the rise of GPUs and specialized accelerators, CPUs’ ability to handle a wide range of applications ensures their continued importance in the evolving landscape.

The custom cloud AI instance segment, led by Google and AWS, showcases substantial future growth, driven by the tech giants’ emphasis on personalized and highly efficient AI solutions. These custom instances are tailored to specific workloads, offering performance optimizations that general-purpose chips cannot match. This trend reflects a broader movement towards highly specialized hardware designed to maximize the efficiency and effectiveness of AI applications. Custom cloud instances not only enhance performance but also reduce operational costs by optimizing resource usage.

Technological Advancements and Innovations

Proliferation of Advanced AI Chipsets

The technological landscape witnesses continuous innovation with major players like NVIDIA, AMD, and Arm pushing the boundaries. These entities are not only dominant players but also catalysts for further technological advancements. Innovations in AI chipsets are set to redefine processing capabilities, fostering more efficient and smarter data centers. As these companies invest heavily in research and development, the resulting breakthroughs drive the industry forward, enabling increasingly sophisticated AI applications.

The proliferation of advanced AI chipsets is characterized by significant improvements in power efficiency, processing power, and scalability. Cutting-edge technologies like advanced node semiconductors and architecture optimizations ensure that AI chipsets can handle the growing complexity of modern AI workloads. These advancements make data centers more capable and efficient, supporting a range of applications from cloud-based AI services to edge computing. The continuous enhancement of these chipsets ensures that data centers can keep pace with the rapidly evolving demands of artificial intelligence.

Competitive Dynamics and Market Performance

The competitive dynamics within the AI chipset market are intensifying, with new entrants challenging established players. The semiconductor sector’s stellar ~30% contribution to the S&P Index’s weight and a market cap surpassing $5 trillion highlight its critical economic role. The impressive YTD returns of 66% for the sector, compared to the broader S&P’s 16%, underscore the robust market performance and the potential for sustained growth. This high level of competition fosters an environment where innovation thrives, driving continuous improvements in AI chipset technologies.

The competition among market players pushes both established companies and newcomers to constantly innovate, ensuring a steady stream of advancements in AI chip technologies. This dynamic environment benefits end-users by providing access to increasingly powerful and efficient AI hardware. Market performance indicators also highlight the significant economic impact of the semiconductor sector, underscoring the importance of AI chipsets in driving broader technological progress. With high stakes and substantial investments, the AI chipset market is poised for continued innovation and growth, shaping the future of data center technology.

Utilization and Use Case Analysis

Hyperscale Cloud Providers’ Utilization

Hyperscale cloud providers are pivotal in the utilization of AI chipsets, commanding increasing market share and shaping purchasing decisions. Their projected growth trajectory from 43% to 50% in purchasing decisions emphasizes their strategic importance in the data center market. These providers’ significant investments in AI infrastructure and development of specialized AI solutions ensure they remain at the forefront of driving market demand and innovation.

The influence of hyperscale providers extends beyond simple purchasing power. They often set the standards for AI technologies and solutions, leading the way in adopting and integrating advanced AI chipsets into their data centers. This leadership role not only accelerates the deployment of cutting-edge AI technologies but also catalyzes innovations that benefit the broader market. By continuously enhancing their AI capabilities, hyperscale cloud providers create a virtuous cycle of demand and supply, spurring further advancements in AI chipset technologies.

Shifting Roles Among Data Center and Enterprise IT Managers

The dynamic between Data Center Managers and Enterprise IT Managers is set to shift, with the latter poised to take on a more significant role by 2028. This transition reflects an evolving landscape where enterprise-level decision-making increasingly influences AI chipset-related investments. As enterprises integrate more AI capabilities into their operations, IT managers’ influence on purchasing decisions grows, highlighting the shift towards more strategic and integrated AI deployment.

This shift signifies that AI chipsets are becoming integral to a broader range of enterprise operations, from data analytics and cybersecurity to customer service and internal process optimization. Enterprise IT managers, tasked with aligning technology investments with business goals, are now key players in the adoption of advanced AI chipsets. This change emphasizes the importance of AI across various sectors and underscores the critical role that strategic tech investment plays in maintaining competitive advantage. The increasing prominence of enterprise IT managers in decision-making processes signals a more holistic approach to AI adoption within organizations.

Diverse Use Cases Driving Demand

AI chipsets find diverse applications across multiple sectors. Leading use cases include Visual & Audio Analytics and Simulation & Modeling, collectively accounting for a significant market share. These applications demonstrate the versatility and necessity of AI chipsets in analyzing vast amounts of data and running complex simulations, driving significant demand in sectors like healthcare, finance, and engineering. The ability of AI chipsets to efficiently handle large-scale analytics and simulations makes them indispensable in modern data-driven environments.

Additionally, Object Identification, Detection, and Monitoring, alongside Conversational AI, are the fastest-growing areas, with CAGRs of 38% and 36%, respectively. These applications are crucial in domains such as autonomous vehicles, security systems, and customer service interactions. The rapid growth in these use cases highlights the expanding scope of AI technologies and the increasing reliance on specialized chipsets to deliver high performance. Sectors such as Manufacturing & Industrial, Media and Entertainment, and Information Technology are significant contributors to this demand, reflecting AI’s broad applicability and transformative potential across diverse industries.

Conclusion

The rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) is dramatically reshaping various industries, with data centers being one of the most significantly impacted sectors. As AI advances, specialized AI chipsets are becoming central to this transformation, particularly those designed for high-performance AI tasks. These innovative chipsets are enabling data centers to handle more complex computations and larger datasets efficiently.

Futurum Intelligence recently conducted an in-depth study providing a comprehensive analysis and a five-year projection of this trend. The findings reveal that we can expect a major shift in the data center market landscape by 2028 due to the widespread adoption and integration of these AI-focused chipsets. The report highlights that the increasing need for rapid data processing and advanced machine learning capabilities is driving this change.

Moreover, as industries rely more on AI for decision-making, analytics, and automation, the demand for robust and efficient data centers is soaring. This reliance is pushing forward the development and deployment of AI chipsets, making them a pivotal element in the future of data center technology. By 2028, these advancements are set to redefine data center operations, making them more efficient, powerful, and capable of handling the ever-growing requirements of AI applications.

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